Will mass demonstrations increase in the future?
Will Mass Protests Increase in the Future? while nobody knows the answer to this for certain, it seems likely that mass demonstrations will remain a feature of society into the foreseeable future, given trends of increased global interconnection, economic disparities, social movements, political polarization and threats posed by artificial intelligence to various jobs conditions - conditions which provide fertile grounds for more mass protests to arise and be organized more easily thanks to advances in technology.
Factors Contributing to an Increase in Mass Demonstrations
While almost anything can spark public protests, some of the most likely are:
Global Conflicts: Smartphones, social media and the internet will only continue to contribute to an increase in protests in the future. Longstanding conflicts between countries, ethnicities, or tribal factions may ignite in other parts of the world and prompt outraged citizens to protest in their home countries. As soon as images and rumors about Israel-Hamas war spread across the globe quickly, public outrage over either massacre of Israeli or American citizens or Israeli response in Gaza Strip resulted in mass demonstrations that supported both sides. These demonstrations took place all around the world.
Social Media & Technology: Social media platforms such as Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram serve as powerful mobilization tools. Their speed in disseminating information quickly while hashtags trend quickly allow rapid organization. With rising smartphone usage and greater internet penetration we expect more people to have access to these organizing tools, making amassing large crowds for demonstrations easier than ever.
Social media provides the platform for "viral moments" that can galvanize public sentiment and transform lives - even isolated events can spark widespread protests, such as George Floyd's murder in Minneapolis.
Economic Inequality: Economic disparities can serve as a catalyst for social unrest. As income disparity widens between rich and poor in many countries, leading to frustration, disillusionment and eventually public demonstrations.
Economic conditions can lead to protests for workers' rights, against tax policies deemed unfair, or for increased income redistribution. One such movement resulting from economic inequality was the Occupy Wall Street protests; as economic disparities widen further apart than ever, economic-driven demonstrations will surely increase in future years.
Climate Change: As climate change becomes more evident, more people may become alarmed and engaged in public protests against it. From young activists such as Greta Thunberg to scientists and concerned citizens alike, it has become a rallying point for mass mobilization - climate strikes or other related protests may become more frequent as a result.
Threats to Civil Liberties: Civil liberties such as free speech, religion and assembly are core democratic rights that could spark mass demonstrations at any sign of an intrusion into these liberties. Legislative changes such as anti-protest laws or restrictions on speech can instigate public protests; examples include the Civil Rights Movement which began as a response to systemic violations against these liberties.
Factors Contributing to Violence at Mass Demonstrations
Police Presence: How police manage demonstrations can have a significant effect on whether they remain peaceful or turn violent. An approach which is confrontational rather than facilitative could further escalate tensions; excessive use of tear gas or rubber bullets could even agitate peaceful protesters into reacting violently themselves.
Outside Agitators: Non-participating groups or individuals can infiltrate protests with the goal of creating chaos. Such individuals or groups might not necessarily align themselves with the goals of the demonstration but can use its cover for initiating violence, looting, or other disruptive activities.
Political Polarization: Mass demonstrations can become highly volatile when in an atmosphere of political division. Counter-protests or confrontations with opposing groups could escalate tensions quickly, potentially leading to clashes and violence - for example rallies over controversial issues like abortion rights can bring out strong opposition, leading to confrontations and potential clashes.
Lack of Leadership: Protests without an identifiable command structure increase the odds that it will become chaotic or violent, leading to diverse tactics which could include violence or property destruction as no central authority can restrict them. While leaderless movements may be more democratic, their lack of control makes them susceptible to violent outbursts as no central entity can regulate such activities.
Conclusion
These factors provide a comprehensive analysis of what drives mass demonstrations and can make them violent, as well as what contributes to them. It's crucial to recognize that these elements often interact in complex ways - there is rarely a singular cause or factor responsible for mass protests. Policymakers, police agencies, and community leaders could benefit greatly by understanding these dynamics to effectively manage and respond to public protests.